Pre G20: "On the brink" of entering the Basel III era (Update1)

10 Nov 2010

Rule Financial Risk Consultant, Diana Ouamar writes a point of view on the latest thinking relating to Basel III, prior to the G20 summit in Seoul, Korea

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) and The Financial Stability Board (FSB) met last month to prepare, discuss and agree a road map for implementing Basel III. These meetings covered the new bank capital and liquidity regulatory framework and policy recommendations for the Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFI) reform.

These proposals will be presented to the Group of 20 (G20) nations when they meet in South Korea this week. If the G20 approves the proposals, it will be up to each nation to adopt its own rules (it is noteworthy that the Dodd-Frank Act in the US and the FSA in the UK have already pushed through legislation to address some of these concerns). In the European Union, the European Commission is likely to propose legislation to transpose Basel III into European Law: Capital Requirement Directive 4 (CRD4).   

The key elements of global financial reforms ahead will focus on the following topics:

  • New bank capital and liquidity standards. The BCBS approved a "Basel III" package in on 12th September 2010 to toughen up global capital and liquidity requirements for banks from 2013 with full effect by 2019.
  • Systemically important financial institutions (SIFI): "Too Big to Fail".
  • Increasing the "intensity" of supervision: Recommendations to increase supervisory intensity and effectiveness. Strong supervision is a necessary complement to stronger rules.
  • "Loss absorption capacity": There is a broad agreement that banks should hold additional "loss absorption" capacity.
  • Over-The-Counter (OTC) Derivatives market: Implementing central clearing and trade reporting of OTC derivatives.
  • Credit Ratings Agency (CRA): Reducing the mechanical reliance on CRAs.
  • Accounting: Reaching a harmonised set of global accounting standards.
  • Commodities: Studying transparency and volatility in commodity markets.
  • Shadow Banking: Devising ways to improve oversight of the "shadow banking" system.

The Seoul G20 summit should be the final step before we enter in the "Basel III era". This set of regulations will mark one of the most significant developments since the original Basel accord in 1988. 

The summit reforms will have fundamental implications for the global financial system.  Basel III will reinforce and extend the scope of balance sheet strengthening measures already initiated by many banks. The complexity of the transition process could prove to be unmanageable for banks with weaker balance sheets and may lead to asset disposals as banks alter their business profiles, whilst a greater convergence in national regulatory capital and liquidity ratios may also contribute to stronger market discipline.

If the G20 get political agreement to ensure consistent local implementation, an even playing field will be created. Consistency will determine the success or failure of Basel III. If international consensus fractures, it will raise fears that European banks will be unable to compete with the riskier balance sheets profiles of US and Asian Banks.